Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.257229 3.445574 3.645828 3.875780 4.134053 4.417004 4.752989
2025-04-13 2.872906 3.112265 3.378660 3.700666 4.084378 4.533821 5.110976
2025-04-20 2.682778 2.967819 3.298350 3.717590 4.247203 4.912480 5.845407
2025-04-27 2.534699 2.855278 3.240717 3.751692 4.434512 5.355774 6.779643
2025-05-04 2.437448 2.793263 3.236262 3.850121 4.720326 5.992069 8.205998
2025-05-11 2.324466 2.700699 3.182627 3.875834 4.911105 6.542152 9.755184
2025-05-18 2.209419 2.595489 3.101568 3.852584 5.026198 7.007804 11.436092
2025-05-25 2.070977 2.449470 2.952808 3.714747 4.941393 7.113634 12.451251
2025-06-01 1.972976 2.350877 2.861405 3.651532 4.967573 7.434344 14.292885
2025-06-08 1.895121 2.274426 2.794841 3.618303 5.038692 7.869141 17.000186
2025-06-15 1.837505 2.221976 2.758172 3.627080 5.185151 8.520382 21.664930
2025-06-22 1.760809 2.138577 2.670481 3.544728 5.149841 8.746312 25.169932
2025-06-29 1.682403 2.054350 2.584265 3.470789 5.148268 9.142547 32.073681
2025-07-06 1.599287 1.959820 2.477520 3.354004 5.047263 9.258909 38.672729
2025-07-13 1.559432 1.925462 2.459942 3.388566 5.267445 10.447918 80.053045
2025-07-20 1.524596 1.896444 2.448505 3.433117 5.524387 12.013669 877.268873
2025-07-27 1.502826 1.885304 2.464162 3.529098 5.931022 14.709350 NaN
2025-08-03 1.469417 1.854846 2.446480 3.560643 6.195047 17.332906 NaN
2025-08-10 1.430196 1.813575 2.408255 3.548009 6.343717 19.759081 NaN
2025-08-17 1.375563 1.746453 2.323402 3.434525 6.188164 19.912454 NaN
2025-08-24 1.335696 1.700512 2.271642 3.383570 6.204562 21.606796 NaN
2025-08-31 1.302833 1.664048 2.233806 3.357509 6.290789 24.365491 NaN
2025-09-07 1.278128 1.639197 2.214195 3.367289 6.492886 29.579094 NaN